Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolas MejiaMontreal Q32

Montreal · ATP · Q32
#91ATP
1627ELO
1496Hard ELO
$400kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 4 · 1st on
#122ATP
1477ELO
1424Hard ELO
$142kYTD
$524kCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Trungelliti M.
6-7 6-3 1-6
Mejia N.
Trungelliti M.
65611
Mejia N.
77362

Nicolas Mejia won the Montreal hard-court tournament final, defeating Marco Trungelliti 7-6, 3-6, 6-1. Mejia served seven aces and committed four double faults, while converting 50 percent of his break points to secure three service breaks. Trungelliti had 11 aces and double faults, but converted only 25 percent of his break points.

Key context

  • Match story: Nicolas Mejia came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
23
26
Break points saved·Even
78
74
Break points won·Clear edge
25
6
Deciding sets·Even
42
40
Tiebreaks·Dominant
11
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Trungelliti M.45%
Mejia N.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+73 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1424
6.9Overall Elo 1627
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1477
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.52 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
61
72

Trungelliti M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d) · Mejia N.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw