Sandro Kopp vs Sebastian SorgerM25 Bolzano Final

M25 Bolzano · ITF · Final
#280ATP
1437ELO
1428Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
clay
#410ATP
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Kopp S.
6-7 3-6
Sorger S.
Kopp S.
6630
Sorger S.
7862

Sebastian Sorger won the M25 Bolzano final, defeating Sandro Kopp 7-6, 6-3 on clay. Sorger hit one ace and one double fault, winning 62 percent of his first serves and converting 43 percent of break points. He secured three service breaks to Kopp's two.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-15M15 Antalya 11R32claySandro Kopp5-7 6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
57%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Kopp S.62%
Sorger S.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kopp S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.71 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 11
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
98

Kopp S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Sorger S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw