Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi KokkinakisMontreal Q32

Montreal · ATP · Q32
#128ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$573kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
1 — 0
Sets
Retired
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#440ATP
30 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
Popyrin A.
6-4 2-3
Kokkinakis T.
Popyrin A.
621
Kokkinakis T.
430

Alexei Popyrin won the Montreal final after Thanasi Kokkinakis retired during their match. At the time of retirement, Popyrin led 6-4, 2-3. Popyrin converted one of two break points and won 92 percent of his first-serve points to secure the title.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayThanasi Kokkinakis4-6 7-6 6-3 5-7 6-3
2023-01-09Adelaide 2R32hardThanasi Kokkinakis6-0 6-7 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
69%
Return points won·Even
31%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
54%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.2
16.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
49
62
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Even
1
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
93
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Popyrin A.34%
Kokkinakis T.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kokkinakis T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
1.62 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
82

Popyrin A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Kokkinakis T.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw