Sofia Kenin vs Lucrezia Stefanini — Toronto Q32
USA13
Kenin S.
Lucrezia Stefanini won the Toronto final, defeating Sofia Kenin 7-5, 1-6, 6-2. Stefanini and Kenin were evenly matched in service breaks, each converting five. Stefanini hit two aces to Kenin's one, and converted 56% of her break points to Kenin's 33%.
Key context
- Match story: Lucrezia Stefanini closed it out in three sets, 7–5 1–6 6–2.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadKenin S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Stefanini L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About