Varvara Lepchenko vs Emerson Jones — Toronto Q32
USAALT
Lepchenko V.
Emerson Jones won the Toronto final, defeating Varvara Lepchenko 6-7, 6-0, 6-4. Emerson Jones hit one ace and seven double faults, compared to Lepchenko's three aces and four double faults. Jones converted 67 percent of her break points and broke Lepchenko's serve six times, while Lepchenko converted 40 percent of her break points and broke Jones' serve twice.
Key context
- Match story: Emerson Jones dropped the opening set before beating Varvara Lepchenko 6–7 6–0 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Jones E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadLepchenko V.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Jones E.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About