Alexander Shevchenko vs Kyrian JacquetMontreal Q32

Montreal · ATP · Q32
#89ATP
1669ELO
1642Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 5 · 1st on
#119ATP
1685ELO
1663Hard ELO
$269kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLL
Shevchenko A.
6-4 4-6 3-6
Jacquet K.
Shevchenko A.
6431
Jacquet K.
4662

Kyrian Jacquet won the Montreal final, defeating Alexander Shevchenko 4-6, 6-4, 6-3. Jacquet hit 4 aces and 6 double faults, while converting 57% of break points and winning 75% of first-serve points. Jacquet broke Shevchenko's serve 4 times, while Shevchenko broke 3 times.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-02-20M15 Heraklion 2R16hardAlexander Shevchenko7-5 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.5
5.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
47
Break points saved·Slight edge
78
87
Break points won·Even
27
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
40
Tiebreaks·Even
93
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Shevchenko A.49%
Jacquet K.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1642
Surface ELO
5.3+21 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1669
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1685
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.37 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
83
82

Shevchenko A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d) · Jacquet K.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw