Carles Hernandez vs Carlos Lopez MontagudM15 Xativa Semi-final

M15 Xativa · ITF · Semi-final
#766ATP
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
clay
#565ATP
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLLWWW
Hernandez C.
6-7 6-4 4-6
Lopez Montagud C.
Hernandez C.
64641
Lopez Montagud C.
77462

Carlos Lopez Montagud defeated Carles Hernandez in the M15 Xativa semifinals, advancing with a 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 victory. Lopez Montagud hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, winning 69% of his first serves and converting 50% of break points. Hernandez secured 3 service breaks, but Lopez Montagud's higher break-point conversion rate proved decisive.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
49%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Hernandez C.35%
Lopez Montagud C.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lopez Montagud C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
32°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw