Coleman Wong vs Arthur Gea — Los Cabos Semi-final

Los Cabos · ATP · Semi-final
HKG
Coleman Wong
#93ATP
1602ELO
1593Hard ELO
$287kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
FRA
Arthur Gea
#85ATP
1597ELO
1610Hard ELO
$359kYTD
$611kCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWL
Wong C.
6-7 3-6
Gea A.
Wong C.
6730
Gea A.
7962

Arthur Gea advanced to the Los Cabos semifinals by defeating Coleman Wong 7-6, 6-3. Gea won the match in two sets.

Around the match

  • “We had a direct flight from Montréal to Detroit… but Sunday evening, Air Canada informed me that the plane was damaged and wouldn't be taking off.”

    Gea A.tennismajors.com ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Arthur Gea closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Wong C.Gea A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.7
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Wong C.Gea A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
24
38
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
81
Break points won·Clear edge
11
27
Deciding sets·Clear edge
7
26
Tiebreaks·Even
82
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Wong C.35%
Gea A.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gea A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Wong C.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Gea A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1593
Surface ELO
5.2+17 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1602
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1596
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.28 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Wong C.Gea A.
Freshness·Dominant
73
100

Wong C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Gea A.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw