Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner — Montreal Q32
GBRQ
AUT21
Fearnley J.
Jacob Fearnley won the Montreal final, defeating Sebastian Ofner 7-6, 6-2. Fearnley hit 5 aces and 2 double faults, winning 72% of first-serve points and converting 44% of break points. Ofner had 6 aces and 5 double faults, winning 74% of first-serve points and converting 40% of break points; he had 2 service breaks to Fearnley's 4.
Key context
- Match story: Jacob Fearnley closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFearnley J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Ofner S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About