Hanyu Guo vs Kayla Day — Toronto Q32
Toronto · WTA · Q32
Guo H.5-7 2-6
Day K.
Guo H.
520
Day K.
762
Kayla Day won the Toronto final, defeating Hanyu Guo 7-5, 6-2. Day served 6 aces to Guo's 2 and did not commit a double fault, while converting 43% of her break points. Day broke Guo's serve 3 times en route to the victory.
Key context
- Match story: Kayla Day closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTCGuo H.37%
Day K.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Day K. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.2+16 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO4.8Hard Elo 1576
5.4Overall Elo 1625
ELO gap4.6Overall Elo 1595
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 73%