Harriet Dart vs Sloane StephensToronto Q32

Toronto · WTA · Q32
#143WTA
1597ELO
1580Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
#240WTA
1683ELO
1630Hard ELO
33 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
Dart H.
6-3 0-6 2-6
Stephens S.
Dart H.
6021
Stephens S.
3662

Sloane Stephens won the Toronto final, defeating Harriet Dart 3-6, 6-0, 6-2. Stephens served three aces to Dart's zero and converted 50 percent of her break points, while Dart converted 38 percent. Stephens won eight service breaks to Dart's five.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
59%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
40
59
Break points saved·Clear edge
3
26
Break points won·Slight edge
84
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
62
79
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
68
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Dart H.54%
Stephens S.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1580
Surface ELO
5.6+49 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1682
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
65

Dart H.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 54 games (7d) · Stephens S.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw