Martin Damm vs Henrique Rocha — Montreal Q32

Montreal · ATP · Q32
Martin Damm
USAQ
Martin Damm
#94ATP
1706ELO
1657Hard ELO
$338kYTD
$910kCAREER
22 yrs · 203 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 1st on
POR20
Henrique Rocha
#126ATP
1676ELO
1574Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$883kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWWW
Damm M.
6-3 7-6
Rocha H.
Damm M.
6772
Rocha H.
3630

Martin Damm won the Montreal hard-court final, defeating Henrique Rocha 6-3, 7-6. Damm hit 13 aces to Rocha's 6 and converted 33% of his break points, while Rocha did not convert any. Damm secured the title with one service break to Rocha's none.

Key context

  • Match story: Martin Damm closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-24M25 Faro 1QFhardMartin Damm2-6 6-1 6-4

Statistics

This season
Damm M.Rocha H.
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.6
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Damm M.Rocha H.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
26
45
Break points saved·Dominant
93
67
Break points won·Clear edge
1
25
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
57
Tiebreaks·Even
84
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Damm M.71%
Rocha H.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Damm M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Damm M.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Rocha H.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+82 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1574
5.4Overall Elo 1706
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1676
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Damm M.Rocha H.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
82

Damm M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Rocha H.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw