Kylie Collins vs Anastasia KulikovaW75 Lexington Semi-final

W75 Lexington · ITF · Semi-final
#407WTA
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
#309WTA
1419ELO
1403Hard ELO
26 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
Collins K.
4-6 6-2 5-7
Kulikova A.
Collins K.
4651
Kulikova A.
6272

Anastasia Kulikova defeated Kylie Collins 6-4, 2-6, 7-5 in the semifinals of the W75 Lexington tournament. Kulikova and Collins were evenly matched in terms of service breaks, each securing 7 breaks. Kulikova hit 4 aces and 5 double faults, while Collins had 5 aces and 18 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
51%
58%
Return points won·Even
51%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.9
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
12.3
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Collins K.38%
Kulikova A.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kulikova A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.1Won 51% in Usa (105)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw