Jan Choinski vs Federico Agustin GomezBonn Semi-final

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#77ATP
1686ELO
1652Clay ELO
$265kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#181ATP
1445ELO
1410Clay ELO
$29kYTD
$680kCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Choinski J.
6-4 6-2
Gomez F.
Choinski J.
662
Gomez F.
420

Jan Choinski advanced to the final of the Bonn tournament, defeating Federico Agustin Gomez in the semifinals. Choinski won in straight sets, 6-4, 6-2. He converted 43% of his break points and broke Gomez's serve three times to secure the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Even
5.7
5.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
36
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
82
Break points won·Even
20
18
Deciding sets·Dominant
87
62
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Choinski J.63%
Gomez F.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Choinski J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.0+243 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Clay Elo 1410
8.0Overall Elo 1686
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1445
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.38 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
78

Choinski J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 39 games (7d) · Gomez F.: 4 days rest · 4 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 22%

Draw