Hugo Gaston vs Duncan Chan — Montreal Q32
FRA5
Gaston H.
Duncan Chan defeated Hugo Gaston in the final of the Montreal hard-court tournament, coming back from a set down to win 2-6, 7-5, 6-3. Chan served 3 aces and 8 double faults, winning 69 percent of his first serves and converting 38 percent of break points. Gaston had 1 ace and 6 double faults, winning 56 percent of first serves and converting 80 percent of break points; he had 4 service breaks to Chan's 5.
Key context
- Match story: Duncan Chan dropped the opening set before beating Hugo Gaston 2–6 7–5 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Gaston H. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.