Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura SamsonTargu Mures Semi-final

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#116WTA
1622ELO
1605Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#122WTA
1690ELO
1684Clay ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Bronzetti L.
5-7 4-6
Samson L.
Bronzetti L.
540
Samson L.
762

Laura Samson defeated Lucia Bronzetti in the semifinals of the Targu Mures clay tournament, winning 7-5, 6-4. Samson hit 7 aces to Bronzetti's 0 and converted 43% of her break points, compared to Bronzetti's 31%. Samson won 6 service breaks to Bronzetti's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (52 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Bronzetti L.62%
Samson L.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bronzetti L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.0Clay Elo 1605
Surface ELO
6.0+79 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1690
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
8.18 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Bronzetti L.: 18 days rest · Samson L.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw