Adam Walton vs Justin Boulais — Montreal Q32

Montreal · ATP · Q32
Adam Walton
AUSQ
Adam Walton
#98ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$531kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 2nd on
Justin Boulais
CANWC
Justin Boulais
#398ATP
1352ELO
1326Hard ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLLW
Walton A.
7-5 7-6
Boulais J.
Walton A.
7772
Boulais J.
5640

Adam Walton defeated Justin Boulais in the final of the Montreal hard-court tournament, winning 7-5, 7-6. Walton served nine aces to Boulais' five and produced fewer double faults, 3 to 7. He converted 25% of break points and won two service breaks to Boulais' one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Walton A.Boulais J.
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.7
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Walton A.Boulais J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
41
5
Break points saved·Dominant
92
50
Break points won·Even
8
5
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
13
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Walton A.75%
Boulais J.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Walton A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Walton A.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Boulais J.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.3+342 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.7Hard Elo 1326
9.4Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
0.6Overall Elo 1352
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.57 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Walton A.Boulais J.
Freshness·Clear edge
81
100

Walton A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Boulais J.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw