Emiliana Arango vs Lois BoissonToronto Q32

Toronto · WTA · Q32
#95WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
#281WTA
1728ELO
1568Hard ELO
$57kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWW
Arango E.
1-6 6-7
Boisson L.
Arango E.
1640
Boisson L.
6772

Lois Boisson won the Toronto final, defeating Emiliana Arango 6-1, 7-6. Boisson hit 5 aces and converted 15% of her break points, while Arango was 0-for on break points. Boisson won 68% of her first-serve points and took 2 service breaks to secure the title.

Key context

  • Match story: Lois Boisson came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
37%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
37%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Arango E.37%
Boisson L.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Boisson L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+8 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1568
3.7Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1728
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.01 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
75
77

Arango E.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d) · Boisson L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw