Polina Kudermetova vs Avery Alexander — Toronto Q32
Kudermetova P.
Polina Kudermetova won the Toronto final, defeating Avery Alexander 6-4, 6-4. Kudermetova and Alexander were even in aces, 2-2, and in break points converted, at 33%, but Kudermetova had more service breaks, 4-2. Kudermetova also had a higher first-serve win percentage, 74-64, though she made more double faults, 6-3.
Key context
- Match story: Polina Kudermetova edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Kudermetova P. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadKudermetova P.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d) · Alexander A.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About