Ayana Akli vs Fiona CrawleyW75 Lexington Semi-final

W75 Lexington · ITF · Semi-final
#265WTA
1381ELO
1397Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
#266WTA
1591ELO
1550Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLLW
Akli A.
6-3 6-3
Crawley F.
Akli A.
662
Crawley F.
330

Ayana Akli defeated Fiona Crawley 6-3, 6-3 in the semifinals of the W75 Lexington tournament. Akli did not hit an ace but made one double fault, while Crawley also had no aces and three double faults. Akli won 72% of her first-serve points and converted 43% of her break points, ultimately winning the match with three service breaks to Crawley's one.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-17W35 Bethany Beach 1SFclayAyana Akli4-6 7-6(5) 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
52%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
58%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
0.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Akli A.31%
Crawley F.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Crawley F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1397
Surface ELO
6.9+153 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1381
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1591
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Won 67% in Usa (79)
Country comfort
6.3Won 71% in Usa (86)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw