Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Vilius Gaubas — San Marino Semi-final

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Facundo Diaz Acosta
ARG1
Facundo Diaz Acosta
#87ATP
1681ELO
1668Clay ELO
$294kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
LTU3
Vilius Gaubas
#123ATP
1581ELO
1535Clay ELO
$279kYTD
$763kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWLW
Diaz Acosta F.
6-2 6-3
Gaubas V.
Diaz Acosta F.
662
Gaubas V.
230

Facundo Diaz Acosta defeated Vilius Gaubas in the semifinals of the San Marino tournament on clay, winning 6-2, 6-3. Diaz Acosta hit 2 aces and no double faults, while Gaubas had 1 ace and 1 double fault. Diaz Acosta converted 40% of his break points and won 4 service breaks to Gaubas' 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Diaz Acosta F.Gaubas V.
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
3.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Diaz Acosta F.Gaubas V.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
57
Break points saved·Clear edge
72
87
Break points won·Dominant
16
52
Deciding sets·Dominant
4
86
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
25
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Diaz Acosta F.63%
Gaubas V.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Diaz Acosta F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Diaz Acosta F.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Gaubas V.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.7+134 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1535
6.2Overall Elo 1680
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1581
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
7.27 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.04 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Diaz Acosta F.Gaubas V.
Freshness·Even
100
100

Diaz Acosta F.: 21 days rest · Gaubas V.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw