Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatov — San Marino Quarter-final
Varillas J.
Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Timofey Skatov in the quarterfinals of the San Marino tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-4. Varillas hit 6 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Skatov had 1 ace and 3 double faults. Varillas converted 67% of his break points and broke Skatov's serve 6 times, compared to Skatov's 4 breaks and 44% conversion rate.
Key context
- Match story: Juan Pablo Varillas edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Skatov T. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadVarillas J.: 18 days rest · Skatov T.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About