Arantxa Rus vs Dominika SalkovaW100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Quarter-final

W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · ITF · Quarter-final
#206WTA
1511ELO
1500Clay ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
clay
#123WTA
1618ELO
1552Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWL
Rus A.
4-6 3-6
Salkova D.
Rus A.
430
Salkova D.
662

Dominika Salkova defeated Arantxa Rus 6-4, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas. Salkova and Rus were even in aces and double faults, but Salkova won 73% of her first serves compared to Rus' 48%. Salkova converted 86% of her break points, taking six service breaks to Rus' three.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
75%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
42%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.7
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
58
Break points saved·Dominant
10
75
Break points won·Dominant
27
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
1
75
Tiebreaks·Dominant
0
26

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Rus A.32%
Salkova D.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Salkova D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1500
Surface ELO
5.6+52 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1511
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1618
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Salkova D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
34°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 22%

Draw