Bogdan Pavel vs Ignacio Parisca — M15 Xativa Quarter-final

M15 Xativa · ITF · Quarter-final
ROU4
Bogdan Pavel
#516ATP
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
clay
VEN7
Ignacio Parisca
#751ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWLWL
Pavel B.
6-1 6-3
Parisca I.
Pavel B.
662
Parisca I.
130

Bogdan Pavel defeated Ignacio Parisca in the quarterfinals of the M15 Xativa tournament on clay, winning 6-1, 6-3. Pavel converted 71% of his break points, securing five service breaks to Parisca's one. Pavel also had one ace to Parisca's zero.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-23M25 DeniaR16clayBogdan Pavel3-6 0-1

Statistics

This season
Pavel B.Parisca I.
1st serve in·
—
63%
1st serve points won·
—
65%
2nd serve points won·
—
49%
Service points won·
—
59%
Return points won·
—
45%
Break points saved·
—
50%
Aces / match·
—
0.9
Double faults / match·
—
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Pavel B.37%
Parisca I.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Parisca I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pavel B.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Parisca I.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
3.23 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.93 of last 6 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
36°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw