Kenta Miyoshi vs Vadym UrsuSamsun Quarter-final

Samsun · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#495ATP
1476ELO
1447Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#408ATP
1223ELO
1196Hard ELO
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
Miyoshi K.
6-2 6-4
Ursu V.
Miyoshi K.
662
Ursu V.
240

Kenta Miyoshi advanced to the semifinals of the Samsun hard-court tournament by defeating Vadym Ursu 6-2, 6-4 in the quarterfinals. Miyoshi hit 5 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Ursu had 3 double faults. Miyoshi converted all 5 of his break points and won 5 service breaks to Ursu's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Miyoshi K.50%
Ursu V.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.1+251 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Hard Elo 1196
8.2Overall Elo 1476
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1223
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.57 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
62
95

Miyoshi K.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d) · Ursu V.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw