Sarah Mildren vs Mutsumi UemuraW15 Brisbane 3 Quarter-final

W15 Brisbane 3 · ITF · Quarter-final
#1143WTA
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
#861WTA
56 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLL
Mildren S.
2-6 5-7
Uemura M.
Mildren S.
250
Uemura M.
672

Mutsumi Uemura defeated Sarah Mildren 6-2, 7-5 in the quarterfinals of the W15 Brisbane 3. Uemura served 3 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Mildren had 1 ace and 1 double fault. Uemura won 4 service breaks to Mildren's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
55%
49%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
36%
49%
Service points won·Even
47%
49%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
33%
44%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
0.3
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Mildren S.61%
Uemura M.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mildren S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.82 of last 5 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
17°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw