Hayato Matsuoka vs J J WolfVancouver Quarter-final

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#314ATP
1361ELO
1332Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
#285ATP
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Matsuoka H.
6-4 5-7 3-6
Wolf J.
Matsuoka H.
6531
Wolf J.
4762

J J Wolf defeated Hayato Matsuoka in the quarterfinals of the Vancouver tournament, advancing with a 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 victory. Wolf converted 50% of his break points, while Matsuoka converted 14%. In the match, Wolf had 7 aces and 1 double fault, compared to Matsuoka's 12 aces and 4 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Matsuoka H.38%
Wolf J.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Wolf J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.95 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
57
72

Matsuoka H.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d) · Wolf J.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw