Kristina Liutova vs Caty Mcnally — Memphis Quarter-final

Memphis · WTA · Quarter-final
RUSQ
Kristina Liutova
#129WTA
1681ELO
1592Hard ELO
16 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 1st on
Caty Mcnally
USA6
Caty Mcnally
#70WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Liutova K.
6-3 6-4
Mcnally C.
Liutova K.
662
Mcnally C.
340

Kristina Liutova defeated Caty Mcnally in the quarterfinals of the Memphis tournament, winning 6-3, 6-4 on hard courts. Liutova and Mcnally were tied with zero aces and zero double faults apiece. Liutova won the match with a higher first-serve win percentage and more service breaks, converting 71% of her break points to Mcnally's 60%.

Around the match

  • “a miracle journey”

    Liutova K.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “At 0-4, I locked back in. It was also very mental -- I just didn't let my emotions out of me, and I continued to play and enjoy the battle.”

    Liutova K.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Liutova K.Mcnally C.
1st serve in·Even
70%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
52%
45%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Even
0.6
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Liutova K.37%
Mcnally C.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mcnally C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Liutova K.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Mcnally C.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1592
Surface ELO
6.7+139 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1817
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.49 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.86 of last 10 on hard
10.013-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.2Won 70% in Usa (44)
Country comfort
6.2Won 69% in Usa (52)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 10 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Liutova K.Mcnally C.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
76

Liutova K.: 16 days rest · Mcnally C.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw