Keegan Rice vs Mark Lajal — Vancouver Semi-final
EST8
Rice K.
Mark Lajal advanced to the Vancouver semifinals with a 6-3, 6-2 win over Keegan Rice. Lajal hit 5 aces and 5 double faults, while converting 42% of break points and winning 91% of first-serve points. He converted 5 service breaks to Rice's 1.
Around the match
“I'm super excited to be into the semifinals. It was a great match, a great atmosphere, and a real three-set tiebreaker battle.”
“I just kept competing no matter what. When down a break, I knew I would have my chances, and if I give myself a chance on every single point, anything can happen.”
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Mark Lajal dropped just 5 games past Keegan Rice.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Lajal M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.