Polina Kudermetova vs Elina SvitolinaWashington Round of 16

Washington · WTA · Round of 16
#97WTA
1727ELO
1646Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
#9WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLL
Kudermetova P.
6-7 4-6
Svitolina E.
Kudermetova P.
6440
Svitolina E.
7762

Elina Svitolina defeated Polina Kudermetova 7-6, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Washington tournament. Svitolina and Kudermetova were even in aces (4) and first-serve win percentage (71), but Svitolina converted 50% of her break points to Kudermetova's 33%. Svitolina won four service breaks to Kudermetova's three, and had fewer double faults (9) than Kudermetova (12).

Around the match

  • Tomorrow is a new surface, new country, a new city, so it's a new challenge, and hopefully I'm going to draw some confidence from today's match.

    Svitolina E.WTA Tennis
  • I was eager to get back on track. I'm happy that I could handle the first set, get back as quick as I can, and find opportunity to win.

    Svitolina E.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
51
91
Break points saved·Slight edge
77
83
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
29
98
Tiebreaks·
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Kudermetova P.23%
Svitolina E.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Svitolina E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.6Hard Elo 1646
Surface ELO
9.4+351 Hard Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1727
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 2070
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
88

Kudermetova P.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw