Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton StearnsMemphis Quarter-final

Memphis · WTA · Quarter-final
#120WTA
1569ELO
1540Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#53WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWLW
Kalieva E.
6-1 2-6 6-3
Stearns P.
Kalieva E.
6262
Stearns P.
1631

Elvina Kalieva defeated Peyton Stearns 6-1, 2-6, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the Memphis tournament. Kalieva hit 8 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Stearns had 2 aces and 3 double faults. Kalieva won 71% of her first-serve points and converted 56% of her break points, breaking Stearns' serve 5 times to Stearns' 3.

Key context

  • Match story: Elvina Kalieva closed it out in three sets, 6–1 2–6 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-07-29W25 DallasQFhardElvina Kalieva7-5 2-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
4.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
18
45
Break points saved·Clear edge
28
43
Break points won·Slight edge
87
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
36
17
Tiebreaks·Dominant
15
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Kalieva E.37%
Stearns P.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Stearns P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1540
Surface ELO
7.7+215 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1569
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1804
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.98 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.3Won 55% in Usa (157)
Country comfort
6.1Won 68% in Usa (125)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
76

Kalieva E.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Stearns P.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw