Taylor Fritz vs Alex MichelsenWashington Quarter-final

Washington · ATP · Quarter-final
#9ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 3rd on
#41ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$797kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Fritz T.
6-1 3-6 7-6
Michelsen A.
Fritz T.
63782
Michelsen A.
16661

Taylor Fritz advanced to the semifinals of the Washington tournament by defeating Alex Michelsen in the quarterfinals. Fritz won 6-1, 3-6, 7-6. In the match, Fritz hit 15 aces and converted 50% of his break points, while Michelsen hit 5 aces and converted 20% of his break points.

Key context

  • Match story: Taylor Fritz came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 3–6 7–6.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-16CincinnatiR64hardTaylor Fritz6-3 6-4
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardAlex Michelsen6-4 7-6
2024-05-20GenevaR16clayAlex Michelsen6-4 4-6 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
15.9
6.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
62
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
92
Break points won·Even
36
32
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Fritz T.67%
Michelsen A.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fritz T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+28 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1810
6.0Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1825
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
10.010 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
6.8Won 80% in Usa (55)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
84

Fritz T.: played today · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Michelsen A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw