Karl Friberg vs Petr NesterovM25 Gentofte Quarter-final

M25 Gentofte · ITF · Quarter-final
#981ATP
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
clay
#301ATP
1456ELO
1410Clay ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
Friberg K.
7-6 2-6 2-6
Nesterov P.
Friberg K.
714221
Nesterov P.
612662

Petr Nesterov defeated Karl Friberg in the quarterfinals of the M25 Gentofte tournament on clay, winning 6-7, 6-2, 6-2. Nesterov hit 5 aces and committed 0 double faults, while Friberg had 1 ace and 3 double faults. Nesterov converted 54% of break points and broke Friberg's serve 7 times, compared to 3 breaks for Friberg.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
41%
53%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
53%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Friberg K.27%
Nesterov P.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Nesterov P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Nesterov P.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw