Paul Inchauspe vs Yanki ErelSamsun Quarter-final

Samsun · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#580ATP
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#282ATP
25 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Inchauspe P.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Erel Y.
Inchauspe P.
3662
Erel Y.
6341

Paul Inchauspe defeated Yanki Erel in the quarterfinals of the Samsun hard-court tournament, prevailing 3-6, 6-3, 6-4. Inchauspe hit 7 aces to Erel's 3 and converted 75% of his break points, compared to Erel's 25%. Inchauspe won 81% of his first-serve points to Erel's 70%, and he broke Erel's serve 3 times, while Erel broke Inchauspe's serve twice.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
76%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.7
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Inchauspe P.39%
Erel Y.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Erel Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.75 of last 8 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
100

Inchauspe P.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Erel Y.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw