S. Saito vs Kylie Collins — W75 Lexington Quarter-final
W75 Lexington · ITF · Quarter-final
JPNS. Saito
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
Saito S.7-5 3-6 3-6
Collins K.
Saito S.
7331
Collins K.
5662
Kylie Collins defeated S. Saito in the quarterfinals of the W75 Lexington tournament, advancing with a 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 victory. Collins hit one ace to Saito's zero and converted 61 percent of her break points compared to Saito's 39 percent. Collins won 11 service breaks to Saito's nine.
Key context
- Match story: Kylie Collins dropped the opening set before beating S. Saito 5–7 6–3 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonSaito S.Collins K.
1st serve in·
—
55%
1st serve points won·
—
61%
2nd serve points won·
—
39%
Service points won·
—
51%
Return points won·
—
51%
Break points saved·
—
48%
Aces / match·
—
0.9
Double faults / match·
—
12.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTCSaito S.35%
Collins K.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Collins K. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchSaito S.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.1Won 51% in Usa (104)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 50%