Hanna Chang vs J. TilbuergerW75 Lexington Round of 16

W75 Lexington · ITF · Round of 16
#295WTA
1354ELO
1314Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
J. Tilbuerger
#1177WTA
Last 10 · pre-match
W
Chang H.
6-4 6-2
Tilbuerger J.
Chang H.
662
Tilbuerger J.
420

Hanna Chang advanced to the quarterfinals of the W75 Lexington tournament, defeating J. Tilbuerger 6-4, 6-2 in the Round of 16. Chang hit one ace and four double faults, while Tilbuerger had two aces and three double faults. Chang converted 57% of her break points and won four service breaks to Tilbuerger's one.

Key context

  • Match story: Hanna Chang dropped just 6 games past J. Tilbuerger.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Chang H.Tilbuerger J.
1st serve in·
56%
1st serve points won·
64%
2nd serve points won·
49%
Service points won·
57%
Return points won·
48%
Break points saved·
50%
Aces / match·
1.3
Double faults / match·
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Chang H.85%
Tilbuerger J.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Chang H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Tilbuerger J.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
5.5Won 59% in Usa (235)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw