Robin Catry vs Lucas MarionneauM15 Dublin Quarter-final

M15 Dublin · ITF · Quarter-final
#595ATP
24 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
#1098ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWWL
Catry R.
5-7 6-3 7-6
Marionneau L.
Catry R.
56772
Marionneau L.
73611

Robin Catry defeated Lucas Marionneau in the M15 Dublin quarterfinals, coming back from a set down to win 5-7, 6-3, 7-6. Catry hit 12 aces and committed 7 double faults, while converting 38% of break points and winning 74% of first-serve points. Both players earned 3 service breaks and had similar first-serve win percentages, with Catry's 74% edging Marionneau's 72%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.2
5.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Catry R.55%
Marionneau L.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.53 of last 6 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
16°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw