Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Daria Zelinskaya

W15 Astana 3 · ITF · Quarter-final

KAZ

Asylzhan Arystanbekova

#905WTA

20 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

WWWWWWWWWW

1 — 2

Sets

Friday, 31 July 2026 · 08:00

hard

RUS4

Daria Zelinskaya

#587WTA

21 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLLWWLLLL

Arystanbekova A.

2-6 6-1 2-6

Zelinskaya D.

Arystanbekova A.

2621

Zelinskaya D.

6162

Daria Zelinskaya defeated Asylzhan Arystanbekova in the quarterfinals of the W15 Astana 3 tournament, winning 6-2, 1-6, 6-2. Zelinskaya hit 2 aces and 4 double faults, while Arystanbekova had 1 ace and 5 double faults. Zelinskaya converted 62% of her break points and won 5 service breaks to Arystanbekova's 4.

Key context

Match story: Daria Zelinskaya closed it out in three sets, 6–2 1–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Arystanbekova A.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Zelinskaya D.

Zelinskaya D.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Arystanbekova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Arystanbekova A.Zelinskaya D.

1st serve in·Even

62%

58%

1st serve points won·Even

61%

64%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

46%

51%

Service points won·Even

56%

58%

Return points won·Even

45%

Break points saved·Slight edge

49%

59%

Aces / match·Clear edge

1.1

3.3

Double faults / match·Clear edge

3.5

2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC

Arystanbekova A.35%

Zelinskaya D.65%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zelinskaya D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Arystanbekova A.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Zelinskaya D.

4.5

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.77 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

3.34 of last 10 on hard

Win streak

0.0Lost last 4

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather

27°CClear

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 40%

Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Daria Zelinskaya — W15 Astana 3 Quarter-final

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Statistics

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return