Natsuho Arakawa vs Lexie StevensW15 Brisbane 3 Quarter-final

W15 Brisbane 3 · ITF · Quarter-final
#901WTA
28 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
#745WTA
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLW
Arakawa N.
6-7 6-1 4-6
Stevens L.
Arakawa N.
64641
Stevens L.
77162

Lexie Stevens defeated Natsuho Arakawa in the quarterfinals of the W15 Brisbane 3 tournament, winning 7-6, 1-6, 6-4 on hard courts. Stevens and Arakawa were even in aces with 3 each, but Stevens committed more double faults, 21-9. Stevens won 62% of her first-serve points to Arakawa's 66%, and converted 33% of break points to Arakawa's 40%, with Stevens securing 5 service breaks to Arakawa's 6.

Key context

  • Match story: Lexie Stevens closed it out in three sets, 7–6 1–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
65%
1st serve points won·
63%
2nd serve points won·
40%
Service points won·
55%
Return points won·
44%
Break points saved·
54%
Aces / match·
2.5
Double faults / match·
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Arakawa N.35%
Stevens L.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Stevens L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.13 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
19°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw