Vittoria Paganetti vs Aya El AouniW15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 Quarter-final

W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 · ITF · Quarter-final
#507WTA
1225ELO
1198Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
clay
#1367WTA
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
Paganetti V.
6-1 7-5
El Aouni A.
Paganetti V.
672
El Aouni A.
150

Vittoria Paganetti defeated A. El Aouni in the quarterfinals of the W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 clay tournament, winning 6-1, 7-5. Paganetti hit 11 double faults and converted 53% of break points, while El Aouni had 7 double faults and converted 50%. Paganetti won 62% of first-serve points and achieved 8 service breaks, compared to El Aouni's 36% and 4 breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Vittoria Paganetti came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
55%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Break points saved·Clear edge
43%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.7
0.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.4
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Paganetti V.76%
El Aouni A.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Paganetti V. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw