Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Mateus AlvesM15 Sao Paulo Quarter-final

M15 Sao Paulo · ITF · Quarter-final
#528ATP
1154ELO
1144Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
clay
#414ATP
1245ELO
1247Clay ELO
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.
7-6 1-6 6-7
Alves M.
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.
771621
Alves M.
636772

Mateus Alves defeated Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos in the quarterfinals of the M15 Sao Paulo tournament on clay, winning 6-7, 6-1, 7-6. Alves hit 9 aces and 1 double fault, while his opponent hit 5 aces and 3 double faults. Alves converted 50% of his break points and made 5 service breaks, compared to 33% and 2 breaks for Saraiva Dos Santos.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.6
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.44%
Alves M.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1144
Surface ELO
6.3+103 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1154
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1244
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.63 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
59

Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
19°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw