Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Federico Agustin GomezBonn Quarter-final

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#281ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
clay
MATCH COURT 2 · 1st on
#181ATP
1445ELO
1410Clay ELO
$29kYTD
$680kCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-7 6-2 5-7
Gomez F.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
64651
Gomez F.
77272

Federico Agustin Gomez defeated Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the quarterfinals of the Bonn tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 2-6, 7-5. Gomez and Pucinelli De Almeida each hit one ace and two double faults. Gomez converted 33% of break points, while Pucinelli De Almeida converted 71%, but Gomez still secured the win with four service breaks to Pucinelli De Almeida's five.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
5.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
36
Break points saved·Dominant
36
82
Break points won·Dominant
43
18
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
62
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
1
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Pucinelli De Almeida M.61%
Gomez F.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pucinelli De Almeida M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1404
Surface ELO
5.1+6 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1412
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1445
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.09 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.76 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
59
82

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Gomez F.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw