Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Juan Carlos Prado AngeloSan Marino Quarter-final

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#87ATP
1681ELO
1668Clay ELO
$294kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#154ATP
1576ELO
1554Clay ELO
$166kYTD
$323kCAREER
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLLLL
Diaz Acosta F.
6-2 4-6 6-1
Prado Angelo J.
Diaz Acosta F.
6462
Prado Angelo J.
2611

Facundo Diaz Acosta defeated Juan Carlos Prado Angelo in the San Marino quarterfinals, advancing with a 6-2, 4-6, 6-1 victory. Diaz Acosta hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, winning 64% of first-serve points and converting 50% of break points. He won 6 service breaks to 3 for Prado Angelo.

Key context

  • Match story: Facundo Diaz Acosta came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–2 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
45
Break points saved·Dominant
72
40
Break points won·Clear edge
16
30
Deciding sets·Dominant
4
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
24
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Diaz Acosta F.67%
Prado Angelo J.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Diaz Acosta F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+115 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1554
6.3Overall Elo 1680
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1576
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.64 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Diaz Acosta F.: 16 days rest · Prado Angelo J.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw