Arantxa Rus vs Isabella Maria Serban — W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Round of 16
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · ITF · Round of 16
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
Rus A.6-3 6-4
Maria Serban I.
Rus A.
662
Maria Serban I.
340
Arantxa Rus defeated Isabella Maria Serban 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas. Rus hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 59% of her first serves and converting 36% of break points. She won 5 service breaks to Serban's 3.
Key context
- Match story: Arantxa Rus closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
75%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
46%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTCRus A.63%
Maria Serban I.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Rus A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
9.1+324 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO0.9Clay Elo 1175
8.8Overall Elo 1511
ELO gap1.2Overall Elo 1204
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form5.35 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
32°CMainly clear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 37%