Ela Plosnik vs Alja SenicaW15 Rogaska Slatina Round of 16

W15 Rogaska Slatina · ITF · Round of 16
#1092WTA
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
#706WTA
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
Plosnik E.
3-6 5-7
Senica A.
Plosnik E.
350
Senica A.
672

Alja Senica defeated Ela Plosnik 6-3, 7-5 in the Round of 16 at the W15 Rogaska Slatina clay court tournament. Senica hit 0 aces and 3 double faults, while Plosnik had 1 ace and 7 double faults. Senica converted 86 percent of her break points and won 6 service breaks to Plosnik's 4.

Key context

  • Match story: Alja Senica closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
55%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Service points won·Even
49%
50%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
45%
48%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Plosnik E.39%
Senica A.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Senica A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.52 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw