Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Nicolas OliveiraM15 Sao Paulo Round of 16

M15 Sao Paulo · ITF · Round of 16
#528ATP
1154ELO
1144Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
#821ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWW
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.
6-4 6-7 6-4
Oliveira N.
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.
66662
Oliveira N.
47841

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos defeated Nicolas Oliveira in the Round of 16 at the M15 Sao Paulo, a clay-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 in favor of Saraiva Dos Santos. Saraiva Dos Santos hit 7 aces and 4 double faults, while converting 44% of break points and winning 66% of first-serve points; Oliveira had 0 aces and 0 double faults, converting 18% of break points and winning 70% of first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-21M25 Maceio 1R16clayPaulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos6-3 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Dominant
59%
25%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.71%
Oliveira N.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.22 of last 5 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
80

Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw