Daniel Milavsky vs Keegan RiceVancouver Quarter-final

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#310ATP
1349ELO
1337Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
#591ATP
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWLW
Milavsky D.
6-1 1-6 6-7
Rice K.
Milavsky D.
61641
Rice K.
16772

Keegan Rice defeated Daniel Milavsky in the quarterfinals of the Vancouver hard-court tournament, 1-6, 6-1, 7-6. Rice converted 80% of his break points, while Milavsky converted 50%. The match saw Rice hit 2 aces and 5 double faults, compared to Milavsky's 9 aces and 4 double faults.

Around the match

  • It was a great battle, he is a great player. There were ups and downs throughout the match, but I just stuck with it, stuck with my game, and kept believing in myself the whole way through.

    Rice K.vanopen.com· 2026-07-30
  • It's what I practice every single day. I know that it's going to pay off in the long run, whether it's that game, the set, or the match.

    Rice K.vanopen.com· 2026-07-30

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
45%
Break points saved·Dominant
76%
44%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.3
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Milavsky D.69%
Rice K.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Milavsky D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
67
100

Milavsky D.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d) · Rice K.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw