M. Mbithi vs Niels Peter Van NoordM15 Huamantla 4 Round of 16

M15 Huamantla 4 · ITF · Round of 16
#947ATP
28 yrs · 200 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#1466ATP
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWL
Mbithi M.
2-6 4-6
Peter Van Noord N.
Mbithi M.
240
Peter Van Noord N.
662

Niels Peter Van Noord defeated M. Mbithi 6-2, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Huamantla 4 hard court tournament. Van Noord hit 7 aces to Mbithi's 4 and converted 67% of his break points compared to Mbithi's 17%. Van Noord won 65% of his first-serve points to Mbithi's 60% and secured 4 service breaks to Mbithi's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
71%
1st serve points won·
62%
2nd serve points won·
45%
Service points won·
57%
Return points won·
36%
Break points saved·
58%
Aces / match·
3.5
Double faults / match·
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Mbithi M.74%
Peter Van Noord N.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mbithi M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
20°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw