Anastasia Tikhonova vs Tena LukasW75 Hechingen Round of 16

W75 Hechingen · ITF · Round of 16
#267WTA
1347ELO
1319Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
#424WTA
1356ELO
1344Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWLW
Tikhonova A.
3-6 6-2 5-7
Lukas T.
Tikhonova A.
3651
Lukas T.
6272

Tena Lukas defeated Anastasia Tikhonova 6-3, 2-6, 7-5 in the Round of 16 at the W75 Hechingen tournament on clay. Lukas converted 38% of her break points and secured 6 service breaks, edging out Tikhonova who converted 29% of her break points and secured 5 service breaks. The match saw Lukas hit 2 aces and 10 double faults, while Tikhonova hit 4 aces and 7 double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Tena Lukas closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
52%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
42%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Break points saved·Even
52%
50%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
0
4
Break points saved·Slight edge
13
21
Break points won·Slight edge
78
89
Deciding sets·Even
1
1
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Tikhonova A.36%
Lukas T.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lukas T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1319
Surface ELO
5.3+25 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1347
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1356
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.02 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
37°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 16%

Draw