Lucas Marionneau vs Valentin Lapalu — M15 Dublin Round of 16
M15 Dublin · ITF · Round of 16
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
Marionneau L.6-2 6-3
Lapalu V.
Marionneau L.
662
Lapalu V.
230
Lucas Marionneau defeated Valentin Lapalu 6-2, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Dublin hard court tournament. Marionneau hit 10 aces to Lapalu's 5 and did not commit a double fault, while converting 44% of break points to Lapalu's 0%. Marionneau won 96% of first-serve points and took 4 service breaks to Lapalu's 0.
Key context
- Match story: Lucas Marionneau dropped just 5 games past Valentin Lapalu.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
60%
—
1st serve points won·
79%
—
2nd serve points won·
57%
—
Service points won·
70%
—
Return points won·
42%
—
Break points saved·
53%
—
Aces / match·
5.5
—
Double faults / match·
1.5
—
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTCMarionneau L.51%
Lapalu V.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.53 of last 6 on hard
Surface formWin streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
20°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 34%